A Divine Tailwind in Boston

By Bryan Green
There's an old Irish blessing that starts: "May the road rise to meet you; May the wind be always at your back." Must have been some blessing the Boston Marathon received this year...
I'm not sure where the tailwind at the Boston Marathon this weekend will rank amongst history's most influential winds, but it's got to be up there after today's performances. Was it as influential as the typhoon that wiped out the Mongol advance on Japan in 1281, creating the word "kamikaze" or "Divine Wind". No, probably not. Words don't get much cooler than kamikaze. But it's at least on par with the wind that caused this for sheer "Wait, is this real? This can't be real, can it?"
I have no idea how much Boston's Divine Tailwind was worth time-wise, but I do know it's changed the Boston Marathon, and more than a few lives, for all-time. Here are the top 5 things this tailwind brought with it as it passed through Boston:
5. Great debatesHow much time was that tailwind worth to Geoffrey Mutai (2:03:02) and Moses Mosop (2:03:06)? Two minutes? Three? They obviously ran an all-time great race, but where *should* it rank amongst the all-time list? And what kind of shape is Ryan Hall really in? He just ran the 15th fastest performance ever, and yet he couldn't run that pace for half marathon just a few weeks ago.
There won't ever again be a discussion of great marathons that doesn't include Boston 2011. Think about it: how fast would Haile Gebrselassie ca Berlin 2008 have run today? Or Sammy Wanjiru ca Beijing 2008?
4. Skewed expectations
Up through two years ago, the goal at Boston was to save your legs in the first half, power home through the second half, and try to run a mid-2:08, which was usually enough for victory. Then last year Robert K Cheruiyot blasted a 2:05:52 and the consensus was it was one of the great performances of all-time. A time that fast was unthinkable on Boston's course.
Today two guys ran almost three minutes faster. Record-eligible times or no, that is insane. The typical winner of the Boston Marathon would have finished 10th today, and still had a mile to go when Geoffrey Mutai crossed the line.
I wonder what this does to expectations for the Boston course now. How disappointed are we going to be when next year's winner runs *just* 2:06:45? Make no mistake, the Boston course is still slow. We're due to revert back closer to "normal" next year.
3. Untouchable records
We know these performances aren't eligible for official records. I'll get into that more below. Here I want to talk about the records that I think should count. Here's three:
Boston Course Record: This one has to be official. The course is the course, regardless of the conditions. And the chances of anyone beating this record are now somewhere on the none side of slim.
Debut Marathon Record: Apparently, this was Moses Mosop's debut marathon. He ran 2:03:06. Umm...I'm going to go ahead and call that one a lock. And no, the tailwind does not matter in this case. He raced the full distance for the first time and that was his time.
Fastest 2nd Place Finish: Moses Mosop gets another record. Before this race, the fastest 2nd place time ever was James Kwambai's 2:04:26 from Rotterdam in 2009 (full list here). And that was insane. Mosop's performance is not only 1:20 faster than that, it is 53 seconds faster than Haile Gebrselassie ever ran! And he still lost!
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2. Vindication
If there's one person whose erratic behavior over the past few months has just been vindicated, it's Ryan Hall. Since last Boston, he's done the following: won at Bix 7 (32:55); 13th at Philadelphia Half (63:56); DNS at Chicago Marathon; left his longtime coach Terrence Mahon to train himself; 2nd at Houston Half (62:20); 21st at NYC Half (63:53); and of course 4th at Boston Marathon in a smokin' 2:04:58.
He's both America's greatest road-racer and it's biggest enigma (with apologies to Webb). He looked like a runner who had lost his way and was letting his insecurities lead him farther off the path he needed to be on. The vast majority of his followers (myself included) questioned his ability to train himself after leaving Mahon and wondered if he wasn't setting himself up for a stretch of races where he underperformed relative to his potential.
And then an insane Boston tailwind happened and, whether those doubts should be wiped away or not, the majority of people will now assume he's made the right choices. And fair enough. Regardless of what the 2:04:58 *really* converts to, it's a smokin' fast time and a sign that things are far from a disaster for our top marathoner.
1. The Mother of All Asterisks
I've always been fascinated with asterisks in sports. For most sports, asterisks are hypothetical. They are something fans use to discount a performance, like Roger Maris's 61 home runs (the "he played 8 more games than Ruth" asterisk) or the Lakers victory over the Kings in Game 6 of the 2002 Western Conference Playoffs (the "Tim Donaghy was ref for that game" asterisk). When you look at the actual record books, there are no asterisks. The asterisks just exist in our collective memory.
Track and road running are different. We put that asterisk on a performance that doesn't meet our criteria. Run a 100m race with a 2.1 mps tailwind: asterisk. Run a race on a course that happens to be net downhill: asterisk. We slap that sucker on anything that even hints at being "unofficial" or, worse, "assisted".
In many cases, it doesn't matter. Every Boston marathon performance since we made the rule about no net downhill point-to-point courses being eligible has had an asterisk. It didn't matter since the course was so slow. But uh oh. Now the two fastest times ever run were just put up on the Boston course. The very same course that was always too slow to matter if it had an asterisk. Which means now that asterisk is going to stick out like a sore thumb. The fastest marathon ever run is officially NOT the world record. Check out the asterisk.

Honestly, that's probably as it should be. It's exactly the type of race that the asterisk was designed for. Without it, my daughter would grow up and look at Desiree Davila's time and not understand how freakishly unusual the conditions were. In track and road running, times are just too important to view them without context, especially the outliers. So gimme the asterisk, officially. And make it a big one. Big enough to represent the Divine Boston Tailwind and the most amazing marathon ever run.
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Has Sammy Wanjiru changed the conventional template for running a championship marathon?
Kirui, Mutai and Cheruiyout, helped by a second Ethiopian, Deriba Merga, carried the lion's share of the pacing load in Berlin. Merga was also a central figure for most of the Olympic marathon. How he must hate his teammate Kebede. In Beijing he passed Merga on the track to grab the bronze; here he came through him in the last 5k, though Merga was in such a bad way by then that he failed to finish.
It looked all over when Hooker qualified with one jump at 5.65 on Thursday. He crashed to the bag and could barely walk after that effort. The soreness settled, and he embarked on an audacious strategy of taking only one jump in the final in the hope that would suffice for a medal. 
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